SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

vol.37 issue6Infant mortality and low birth weight in cities of Northeastern and Southeastern BrazilIschemic heart disease: mortality in natives and migrants, São Paulo, Brazil, 1979-1998 author indexsubject indexarticles search
Home Page  

Services on Demand




Related links


Revista de Saúde Pública

On-line version ISSN 1518-8787Print version ISSN 0034-8910


COSTA, Maria da Conceição Nascimento et al. Infant mortality in Brazil during recent periods of economic crisis. Rev. Saúde Pública [online]. 2003, vol.37, n.6, pp.699-706. ISSN 1518-8787.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze time trends in infant mortality in Brazil during a recent period of economic crisis (1980-1998). METHODS: Time-series study based on the Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System, IBGE Foundation and Fundação Nacional de Saúde (National Health Institute database. Serial parameters were described using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, and the association between infant mortality rates and a number of determinants was evaluated using Spearman correlation coefficients. RESULTS: Infant mortality showed a declining trend (-59.3%) and a strong correlation with most of the indicators analyzed. However, only correlations between infant mortality rate and total pregnancy and birth rates presented a significant difference between the two decades. CONCLUSIONS: Variations in pregnancy rate were the main cause for the persistent decline in infant mortality in the 1980's. In the subsequent period, causes related to living conditions, especially healthcare, may have been more important.

Keywords : Infant mortality; Mortality rate; Pregnancy rate; Birth rate; Information systems; Socioeconomic factors; Time series.

        · abstract in Portuguese     · text in English | Portuguese     · English ( pdf ) | Portuguese ( pdf )