Bulletin of the World Health Organization
Print version ISSN 0042-9686
MUSGROVE, Philip; ZERAMDINI, Riadh and CARRIN, Guy. Basic patterns in national health expenditure. Bull World Health Organ [online]. 2002, vol.80, n.2, pp.134-146. ISSN 0042-9686. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0042-96862002000200009.
Analysed in this paper are national health accounts estimates for 191 WHO Member States for 1997, using simple comparisons and linear regressions to describe spending on health and how it is financed. The data cover all sources - out-of-pocket spending, social insurance contributions, financing from government general revenues and voluntary and employment-related private insurance - classified according to their completeness and reliability. Total health spending rises from around 2-3% of gross domestic product (GDP) at low incomes (<US$ 1000 per capita) to typically 8-9% at high incomes (>US$ 7000). Surprisingly, there is as much relative variation in the share for poor countries as for rich ones, and even more relative variation in amounts in US$. Poor countries and poor people that most need protection from financial catastrophe are the least protected by any form of prepayment or risk-sharing. At low incomes, out-of-pocket spending is high on average and varies from 20-80% of the total; at high incomes that share drops sharply and the variation narrows. Absolute out-of-pocket expenditure nonetheless increases with income. Public financing increases faster, and as a share of GDP, and converges at high incomes. Health takes an increasing share of total public expenditure as income rises, from 5-6% to around 10%. This is arguably the opposite of the relation between total health needs and need for public spending, for any given combination of services. Within public spending, there is no convergence in the type of finance - general revenue versus social insurance. Private insurance is usually insignificant except in some rich countries.
Keywords : Health expenditures [statistics]; Health expenditures [trends]; Financing, organized; Financing, personal; Health care sector; Linear models.